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American financial crisis versus 1990s japan crisis
16 December 2007

Japanese and American bubbles were inflated at a time of financial experimentation and easy credit.

Japan in the mid-1980s faced pressure from the United States to liberalise its markets. That sparked a wave of “financial engineering”, and the proliferation of new products such as derivatives. Similarly, america saw a huge growth in the securitisation of mortgage assets and “structured investment vehicles” when the Federal Reserve was providing cheap money.

Crucially, both were property-related bubbles, commercial in Japan and residential in America. Japan got into the mess by assuming land prices only rose (in cities they have since fallen by about 70%). But American financiers have made the same silly assumptions, gaily advancing money to “ninjas”: people with no income, no job and no assets.

One reason the approach of both crises was widely missed was that most of the warning signs were not at parent banks but in affiliates, subsidiaries and other murky offshoots.



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